Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 58.969945 67.084968 75.434363 84.633524 94.452140 104.587984 115.812001
2025-07-13 48.658323 60.488774 73.245845 87.887513 104.098130 121.378785 141.077737
2025-07-20 42.071845 55.966347 71.478618 89.799607 110.586445 133.206633 159.459146
2025-07-27 35.787131 50.877593 68.293301 89.407640 113.886076 140.996621 172.934322
2025-08-03 30.555197 46.378160 65.229709 88.641864 116.310599 147.425973 184.549361
2025-08-10 26.870098 43.349941 63.560184 89.194071 119.986932 155.057453 197.334505
2025-08-17 23.206432 39.958746 61.131268 88.559817 122.038410 160.633546 207.614920
2025-08-24 20.434508 37.456060 59.584051 88.803685 124.973301 167.110715 218.831510
2025-08-31 17.548309 34.497950 57.220654 87.835791 126.284269 171.553685 227.579930
2025-09-07 15.826181 33.020912 56.667580 89.046332 130.173105 178.993669 239.796970
2025-09-14 14.402083 31.837899 56.403501 90.545189 134.358130 186.748569 252.362588
2025-09-21 12.413769 29.577471 54.510228 89.799615 135.645879 190.943465 260.651965
2025-09-28 10.206164 26.728925 51.643308 87.670264 135.140215 192.957659 266.375760
2025-10-05 9.735363 26.741487 52.858662 91.011756 141.615616 203.528013 282.408207
2025-10-12 8.949030 26.112779 53.077762 92.959376 146.274852 211.853991 295.734583
2025-10-19 7.675383 24.444326 51.644866 92.560018 147.839779 216.318787 304.362948
2025-10-26 6.464293 22.713948 50.001369 91.778575 148.839414 220.033723 312.045331
2025-11-02 5.661934 21.672314 49.351959 92.342034 151.570238 225.887866 322.326741
2025-11-09 4.724736 20.188494 47.903868 91.694868 152.643859 229.625056 329.989232
2025-11-16 4.047915 19.154743 47.112683 91.943704 154.878745 234.805850 339.415933
2025-11-23 3.265338 17.699715 45.524441 90.956058 155.396985 237.772641 346.082690
2025-11-30 2.881131 17.165146 45.456809 92.191290 158.915174 244.558722 357.487157
2025-12-07 2.571302 16.767540 45.597071 93.720522 162.827569 251.850393 369.528825